RismadarVoice Reporters
October 7, 2026
Republican candidates are leading their Democratic opponents in Florida’s races for governor and the United States Senate, according to a new NBC6/Telemundo Station Group poll conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy.
In the governorship race, Republican Byron Donalds recorded 48 per cent support, compared with 41 per cent for Democrat David Jolly, giving Donalds a seven-point advantage. Ten per cent of respondents were undecided, while one per cent supported another candidate.
The Senate contest showed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody with 50 per cent support against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon’s 40 per cent. Eight per cent remained undecided, while two per cent backed independent candidate Neil Gillespie.
Republican candidates also held leads among Hispanic voters surveyed. Donalds recorded 48 per cent support among Hispanic voters compared with Jolly’s 43 per cent, while Moody led Nixon 47 per cent to 40 per cent.
The survey found President Donald Trump’s job approval evenly divided among likely Florida voters, with 48 per cent approving and 48 per cent disapproving.
Among Hispanic respondents, however, 49 per cent disapproved of Trump’s performance while 45 per cent approved.
Economic concerns emerged as the leading issue ahead of the November election. Thirty per cent of voters identified inflation and the cost of living as the issue most likely to influence their vote.
The direction of the state or country followed at 17 per cent, while immigration enforcement was cited by 16 per cent.
The poll also measured support for a proposed constitutional amendment that would increase Florida’s homestead exemption for non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028.
Fifty-five per cent supported the proposal, 26 per cent opposed it, and 19 per cent were undecided.
On immigration enforcement, 53 per cent supported cooperation between state and local police and federal immigration authorities, while 45 per cent opposed it.
The main survey was conducted from September 28 to October 1 among 625 registered Florida voters who said they were likely to participate in the November 3 general election.
It has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.
The findings represent voter preferences during the polling period and do not determine the eventual outcome of either race.
